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Bitcoin Power Law Probability Bands

Overview

Current Percentile

7D Change

49.90%

-2.34

Max Percentile

7D Change

52.41%

-0.43

Min Percentile

7D Change

48.27%

-1.69

Current Percentile

28D Change

49.90%

-6.30

Max Percentile

28D Change

56.21%

-6.15

Min Percentile

28D Change

46.58%

-5.22

Current Percentile

3M Change

49.90%

-15.63

Max Percentile

3M Change

72.68%

-2.21

Min Percentile

3M Change

46.58%

9.39

Current Percentile

1Y Change

49.90%

-7.44

Max Percentile

1Y Change

74.90%

8.55

Min Percentile

1Y Change

32.08%

28.97

Current Percentile

YTD Change

49.90%

-12.96

Max Percentile

YTD Change

72.68%

6.34

Min Percentile

YTD Change

46.58%

20.27

Current Percentile

4Y Change

49.90%

-48.30

Max Percentile

4Y Change

99.11%

-0.88

Min Percentile

4Y Change

0.00%

-1.83

Current Percentile

All Time Change

49.90%

30.47

Max Percentile

All Time Change

99.99%

0.00

Min Percentile

All Time Change

0.00%

0.00

MonthYearPercentile ChangePercentileMax PercentileMin Percentile
Jan20258.3471.20%72.68%59.92%
Feb2025-14.4452.38%67.53%51.80%
Mar2025-5.0348.27%58.33%46.58%
Apr2025-0.5149.90%50.41%49.90%
Monthly Avg2025-2.91
Yearly Avg2025-11.6455.44%72.68%46.58%

About this Chart

Original model by PlanC.

This chart displays the Power Law Quantile Regression lines for the Bitcoin Price. A Quantile regression line tells you how many of the data points fall above or below the line. For example, the 95th regression means that 95% of the data are below the line, or said in another way, only 5% of all the historical price data fall above the 95th percentile line. The 99th quantile line represents the upper bound of the price range because 99% of all values are below this line, while the 1st quantile line represents the lower bound because 99% of values fall above this line. The Power Law Quantile Regression bands can be used to analyze the long-term price growth of Bitcoin.

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Profile

Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital

@Sina_21st

Quantile regression is one of the most interesting and advanced Bitcoin models, developed recently. @TheRealPlanC and I explain the model and its price channel that provides an expected Bitcoin price range moving forward.

6:20 PM · Oct 2, 2024 · 11.2K Views

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